MBP Intelligence

A separatist fringe has captured the UCP membership, and Premier Smith's path forward depends on satisfying them, even if most Albertans don't want separation. Key Takeaways: * Separatists claim to have met the 177,000 signature threshold a month early, but even if they fail formally, UCP

Avi Lewis won the federal NDP leadership on Sunday in Winnipeg with a decisive first-ballot victory, capturing 56 per cent of the vote (39,734 votes out of 70,930 cast). Heather McPherson finished second with 29 per cent, followed by Tanille Johnston (7%), Rob Ashton (6%), and Tony

An analysis of 2,355 pre-budget submissions over three years reveals that AI engagement among policy stakeholders is growing fast but remains far too thin and too narrowly focused on competitiveness. Key Takeaways: * AI mentions in pre-budget submissions have surged from 3.4% in 2023 to 15.1%

AI is reshaping how associations, GR firms, and political practitioners do their work. But the disruption looks different depending on where you sit. Artificial intelligence is the subject of relentless hype, but for those working in and around government — associations, GR consultants, lobbyists, political practitioners — the practical question is more

A majority assembled through floor-crossings and byelections changes the calculus on elections, Parliament, and caucus management in ways that cut in multiple directions. Key Takeaways:  * A spring or summer election becomes much less likely, but don't assume this Parliament lasts until 2029. * Committee compositions are locked for

Prime Minister Carney’s Arctic defence announcement last Thursday put $35 billion in headlines and a Nordic summit on the diplomatic calendar. This week MBP Intelligence examines what the package actually contains, what it means for defence procurement and personnel, and whether the global arms race changes the calculus on

It’s been nearly a year since Mark Carney became Prime Minister, which makes this a good time to start doing some assessments on the Carney government’s record thus far. This week, MBP Intelligence looks at the state of the federal civil service and the significant changes the Carney

As a major oil and gas producer, Canada will benefit – but the upside of how and how much may be overstated. As we enter a more turbulent global energy environment, it is crucial the next Spring Economic Statement provide Canadians with an updated model of how commodity prices affect our

Provincial budget season is mostly done, and the picture across the country is not pretty. From BC to Nova Scotia, provinces are swimming in red ink. The causes vary by region: falling commodity prices in the west, tariff exposure in central Canada, structural spending growth everywhere, but the underlying dynamic