MBP Intelligence

The prediction market industry wants to be treated as a serious financial product for regulatory classification purposes and as a fun startup when it comes to consumer protection. Canadian regulators should not let them have it both ways. Key Takeaways:  * The prediction market industry has a serious and demonstrable insider

Analyzing Alberta’s Upcoming Referendum Questions Last week Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced nine referendum questions for this October, ranging from immigration jurisdiction to Senate abolition, the largest single use of direct democracy in the province's history. For now, none of these questions deal with separation, though this

Coverage of BC's budget has fixated on the deficit number — but the growth-first initiatives buried in the document may matter more for business and industry than the headline fiscal figures Key Takeaways: * Media coverage has been singularly focused on BC's record deficit, but Alberta is

MBP Intelligence endeavours to cover national politics, which means not just federal politics but also politics and policy developments at the provincial level. This week, MBP Intelligence turns its attention to Atlantic Canada, where a series of major energy developments are quietly reshaping the region’s economic and political trajectory,

Canada should explore tokenized bond issuance to broaden its investor base, reduce concentration risk, and modernize its debt infrastructure at a time of rising global competition for capital. Key Takeaways:  * Canada's debt issuance model, while functional, is vulnerable to concentration risk. The current system relies on a small

Caught between escalating U.S. trade aggression, the accelerating transition to electric vehicles, and mounting production losses, the federal government faces enormous pressure to craft an industrial strategy that protects jobs, sustains manufacturing capacity, and positions the industry for long-term competitiveness.  Prime Minister Carney’s recently released auto strategy

MBPI exclusive polling and economic data suggest the NDP government has both the fiscal room and political capital to chart a comfortable course to the next election. Key Takeaways:  * Manitoba's fiscal path is tight but credible. Budget 2025 projected a $794 million deficit with a plan to reach

The leadership race must answer a fundamental question: Which path to defeating Ford actually works? Key Takeaways: * The Ontario Liberal leadership race must decide between three strategic models: a two-step approach focused on incremental gains, consolidating the progressive vote to challenge Ford directly, or positioning as the “serious” party

Poilievre is likely to come out of the leadership review with a comfortable result, and will need to move to doing what it takes to win the next election. The challenge remains variables largely beyond his control.  Key Takeaways:  * Poilievre is likely to have a comfortable result at the leadership