The House rises this week for the summer, and the Carney government heads into the break with an ambitious policy agenda in place but most of its signature commitments still untested by delivery. Meanwhile, global economic uncertainty persists, the CUSMA review formally opens on July 1, and Alberta’s separation referendum looms in the fall. This week, MBP Intelligence identify the files and forces to watch over the next few months, as Ottawa moves into summer mode.
Tyler Meredith warns that inflation remains the most underappreciated risk of the summer, with a new Fed Chair navigating an almost impossible monetary-policy environment. Ken Boessenkool is watching CUSMA brinkmanship, the Alberta referendum, and the politics of AI. Shannon Phillips identifies five pressure points, from the NDP’s opening in British Columbia to the near-certainty of a Liberal stumble. And Ben Woodfinden asks whether the Carney government’s impressive library of strategies will translate into anything built.
A note on summer schedule: starting next week MBP Intelligence will publish one written briefing per week over the summer months, rather than our usual twice-weekly schedule. The podcast continues on its regular weekly rhythm.
